Dangers of Forecasting with MOS
In a nutshell, MOS is a model that gives at-a-glance forecasts for specific locations. Although it’s an easy way to make a forecast, MOS has many known biases and issues. Bullet points… MOS has...
Monthly Archive: March 2014
Eastern U.S. Snowfall-to-Date
Here’s an approximate look at how much snow has fallen across the eastern U.S. so far this season. Snow was observed as far south as the Gulf Coast and many locations further north saw...
Other Storms and Near-Misses
Hurricane Sandy in 2012 was a powerful storm and one of the most significant weather events in decades to hit the Northeast and mid-Atlantic region. Although the storm was a hurricane as it approached the...
Heavy Rain Tonight
Rain will become heavy at times later tonight and this could result in some poor drainage and other localized flooding. Low pressure will develop along the mid-Atlantic coast later today. An area of enhanced...
Connecticut Hurricanes
In 1985, After a 25 year hurricane “drought”, Hurricane Gloria threatened the area. Due to its’ strength, large size and forecast track towards New York City, it was one of the biggest weather stories...
What is a Severe Thunderstorm?
Most know what a thunderstorm is, but what exactly is a severe thunderstorm? Thunderstorms are often accompanied by heavy rain, lightning, strong winds and even hail or tornadoes on occasion. Once a thunderstorm becomes strong enough,...
New England Hurricane Tracks
The “typical” New England hurricane starts out between the coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles. There have been cases in which a storm developed further northwest, but for the sake of averages, the...
Tornadoes in New York: May 29th, 2013
Two tornadoes (an EF-2 and an EF-1) touched down in eastern New York on May 29th, 2013, both around 7:00 p.m., according to the National Weather Service (NWS). The stronger tornado, an EF-2, had...
Northeast Tornado Stats: 2013
Here’s a recap of the 2013 tornado season across the Northeast. Connecticut had four reports of tornadoes during 2013, which is roughly twice the average amount of about two. Keep in mind that 2012...
Leaving News 8
I will be leaving News 8 early in April to pursue other opportunities, including storm chasing around the country this spring. My last day will be Friday, April 4th. This is the start of...
A January Chase
I took my first trip to North Carolina on January 11th to hopefully chase some storms. It was a complex setup in an area not particularly friendly for chasing. An intense line segment moved...
Early Spring Tornadoes in Connecticut
Severe weather season doesn’t really get going until June and July in the Northeast, but tornadoes have formed in Connecticut during April and May… Earliest Tornado on Record: On April 26th, 1961, an F1...
How Common is April Snow?
Just how common is snow in the spring? Well, March is typically a snowy month in terms of total snowfall, but once you get into late March and April, snowfall averages decrease dramatically. Average...
November Outbreak
A major late season (fall) tornado outbreak occurred across the Midwest and Ohio Valley region on November 17th, 2013. It was my first opportunity to chase in the thick of such an outbreak. November...