Monday, the Big Day?
Although I will be out in the field looking for storms today/Sunday, the next day that really captures my attention is Monday.
This is just a quick overview before I hit the road, but the Storm Prediction Center is already highlighting parts of the upper Midwest/upper Plains for a risk of significant severe weather, including damaging winds, very large hail and tornadoes.
As far as tornadoes are concerned, the data that I have seen so far indicates the potential for at least a few tornadoes. There is also the possibility that there could be a particularly intense (EF-2 or stronger) tornado given the combined amount of wind shear and instability in the forecast.
Here’s the 12z NAM forecast Significant Tornado parameter for 4 p.m. local time Monday: