May 2015 Tornado Forecast
The April tornado forecast was a trial run and a lot has been learned since it was made. After some success with that forecast, I will be incorporating a lot more statistical analysis (analog...
Monthly Archive: April 2015
Wild Chase Day in Texas
Sunday had potential and although no significant tornadoes were reported, there were at least a dozen tornadoes in total across north-central Texas. As for my chase, I left Oklahoma City in the morning and...
Complex Texas Setup 4/26
After a brief break in the action, the severe weather threat is ramping up again in the Plains today. The focus is on the southern Plains, particularly in central to north Texas. What complicates...
Kansas Chase Recap 4/24
A trip to the central Plains. Leading up to this chase day, it was fairly clear that a relatively small geographical area in Kansas would be under the threat for severe weather. A cluster...
Targeting Central Kansas 4/24
The storm threat today across the Plains is split into two areas. One is just ahead of a surface low in Kansas and another is further south across north Texas and vicinity. I am...
Kicking Off Chase Season
It’s great to be back in the Plains. Yesterday was the first chase day of my season and I had to drive nine hours before I even made it to my target in the...
TX Panhandle Initiation 4/22
Based on virtually all model guidance and near-term trends, the focus area for thunderstorm development this afternoon is the eastern Texas panhandle. Particularly between Amarillo and Childress. The atmospheric setup involves a sagging frontal...
Nice Weather to Continue
As the weather pattern becomes more spring-like with ridging in the east, temperatures will continue to run at or above average this week. Look for 60s each day, except for highs on Thursday only...