International Border
Storm chasing prospects today are north, near or possibly north of the international border with Canada, as a climatologically significant setup targets the area. As upper level energy pivots east from southwestern Canada, a...
Category: Archive
Archived news and blog posts that may no longer be relevant.
Drifting Back to Oklahoma
Today’s severe weather setup drifts back toward Oklahoma. The surface setup features an area of low pressure over the Oklahoma/Texas panhandles, which will be moving slowly eastward through the day. South of the low...
Uncertain Prospects
Usually by early afternoon on a storm chase, I have a fairly good idea about where I’m going. It’s not always a slam dunk, but usually there’s a target in mind and reasonable confidence...
Modifying Outflow
An outflow boundary is draped from near the Red River in southern Oklahoma, northwestward into the eastern portion of the Texas panhandle this morning. Ongoing convection in central to eastern Oklahoma will tend to...
Similar Setup
The setup is similar to yesterday, with the only noteworthy differences being a slight eastward shift of a surface low and somewhat stronger mid and upper level forcing. The surface low should be positioned...
Wandering the High Plains
Today’s storm prospects are focusing in on eastern Colorado into southwestern Kansas, as an area of low pressure spins over the Front Range. Climatology says that northeastern Colorado is the tornado hotspot of this...
Panhandle of the North
As May carries on, poleward moisture transport is beginning to support storm chases farther north. Although it’s not completely unheard-of, it is still a bit early (climatologically speaking) to be chasing in the Nebraska...
Oklahoma Opportunities
The day’s severe threat is focused on western Oklahoma and the ingredients are coming into place for what could be a very active late afternoon. A dryline across the eastern portion of the Texas...
Back to Kansas
May is here and today’s storm chase features a return to Kansas. Overall, the chase itself is fairly straightforward. Low pressure in the western half of Kansas will be the focus for thunderstorm development...
Spring’s First Chase
It took until the final day of April, but there’s finally a worthwhile chase setup in the Plains. This week has been on my radar for a while, but as I’ve learned to do...
The Untold Chase Story: 9/4/16
Chases are filled with “untold” stories. Sometimes these stories are insignificant or unrelated to the chase itself, but other times the experiences reach another level. Today’s chase fell into that latter category. The chase...
Complex Texas Setup 4/26
After a brief break in the action, the severe weather threat is ramping up again in the Plains today. The focus is on the southern Plains, particularly in central to north Texas. What complicates...
TX Panhandle Initiation 4/22
Based on virtually all model guidance and near-term trends, the focus area for thunderstorm development this afternoon is the eastern Texas panhandle. Particularly between Amarillo and Childress. The atmospheric setup involves a sagging frontal...
March 1-2 Snowfall Forecast
Periods of light snow and flurries will continue through early Sunday afternoon on March 1st. A more organized area of steady moderate to occasionally heavy snow should develop across Connecticut between 3 p.m. and...
Weekend Snowfall Forecast
Periods of light snow are likely through much of Saturday, although accumulations should be limited to an inch or two, at best, during the daylight hours. Saturday night through Sunday morning, a few bursts...
Snowfall: February 7-9, 2015
Scattered flurries and areas of light snow are expected through Sunday, but a steadier and heavier snow develops after midnight. The heaviest snow is likely across Massachusetts with lighter precipitation to the south and...