Category: Forecasts

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A Casual Look at the Rest of March

A pattern change is soon underway that will leave much of the U.S., especially the eastern two thirds, feeling spring fever. Unlike patterns in recent years, a prevalent ridge of high pressure off or...

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Snowfall Forecast for Monday, Feb. 8

A look at snowfall totals expected across southern New England and the New York City metropolitan area for Monday, February 8th, 2016. Snow develops during the morning hours from south to north, possibly beginning...

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May 2015 Tornado Forecast

The April tornado forecast was a trial run and a lot has been learned since it was made. After some success with that forecast, I will be incorporating a lot more statistical analysis (analog...

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Nice Weather to Continue

As the weather pattern becomes more spring-like with ridging in the east, temperatures will continue to run at or above average this week. Look for 60s each day, except for highs on Thursday only...

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April 2015 Tornado Forecast

After a very persistent pattern through much of the winter, featuring a large ridge across the West Coast of the U.S. and troughing in the East, the pattern is undergoing changes. After record low...

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June Outlook

May has been a changeable month so far with temperatures and more changes are in the store for the next 4-6 weeks or so. Looking at the first 15 days of May, temperatures have...

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May Outlook

Following up a cold winter across much of the country, April has proven to be a transition month. Although the month started mild for a large portion of the country, much cooler air has...

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April Forecast Follow-Up

After a warm-up along the East Coast and late-season snows across the Upper Midwest in mid-April, the weather pattern stays active heading into the second half of the month. The April forecast outlook from...

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Heavy Rain Tonight

Rain will become heavy at times later tonight and this could result in some poor drainage and other localized flooding. Low pressure will develop along the mid-Atlantic coast later today. An area of enhanced...

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April Outlook

The colder than average pattern may persist into April across the Northeast. Connecticut highlights: -Temperatures are forecast to be slightly below to near average for April 2014. -There could be a winter storm somewhere...