Category: Long-Range

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A Casual Look at the Rest of March

A pattern change is soon underway that will leave much of the U.S., especially the eastern two thirds, feeling spring fever. Unlike patterns in recent years, a prevalent ridge of high pressure off or...

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May 2015 Tornado Forecast

The April tornado forecast was a trial run and a lot has been learned since it was made. After some success with that forecast, I will be incorporating a lot more statistical analysis (analog...

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April 2015 Tornado Forecast

After a very persistent pattern through much of the winter, featuring a large ridge across the West Coast of the U.S. and troughing in the East, the pattern is undergoing changes. After record low...

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June Outlook

May has been a changeable month so far with temperatures and more changes are in the store for the next 4-6 weeks or so. Looking at the first 15 days of May, temperatures have...

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May Outlook

Following up a cold winter across much of the country, April has proven to be a transition month. Although the month started mild for a large portion of the country, much cooler air has...

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April Forecast Follow-Up

After a warm-up along the East Coast and late-season snows across the Upper Midwest in mid-April, the weather pattern stays active heading into the second half of the month. The April forecast outlook from...

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April Outlook

The colder than average pattern may persist into April across the Northeast. Connecticut highlights: -Temperatures are forecast to be slightly below to near average for April 2014. -There could be a winter storm somewhere...